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Tax Analysis and Revenue Forecasting (TARF)

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June 16 - July 12, 2019

Priority application deadline: May 16, 2019

Tax analysis and revenue forecasting have become increasingly important functions as governments undertake reforms of their tax systems to enhance revenues, improve the equity and efficiency of taxes, and promote economic growth.The four-week Tax Analysis and Revenue Forecasting workshop covers the economic foundations of tax policy, revenue forecasting and statistical techniques to give participants the capacity to implement successful tax reforms. The course covers a wide variety of taxes such as value-added tax, personal and corporate income tax, excises, property tax, trade taxes and taxes on natural resources. The application of macroeconomic models, micro-simulation models and typical taxpayer models are also covered.



Tax Analysis
  • Principles of taxation and tax reform 
  • Economic impact of taxes and subsidies
  • Consumption and expenditure taxes
  • Taxes on international trade
  • Taxation of income
  • International tax harmonization
  • Wealth and asset taxation
  • Property and real estate taxes
  • Taxation of natural resources
  • Taxation of financial sectors
  • Inflation and taxation
  • Taxation of e-commerce
  • Taxation of MNCs and BEPS
Revenue Forecasting
  • Value-added and excise taxes
  • Trade taxes
  • Personal income taxes
  • Corporate income taxes
  • Taxes on natural resources
  • Property taxes
Computer Applications
  • Introduction to computers and computerization
  • Microcomputers in revenue forecasting
Empirical Techniques and Models
  • Micro-simulation models
  • Typical taxpayer model
  • Macroeconomic models
  • GDP-based forecasting models
  • Regression analysis
  • Sampling techniques
  • Consumer expenditure surveys
  • Receipts model
Special Topics may include:
  • Risk management of tax compliance
  • Transfer pricing and international dispute resolution
  • Tax competition and investment incentives
  • Overview of tax treaties for double tax avoidance


Leading the workshop is Dr. GP Shukla, who served in the government of India for 20 years and has provided technical assistance to over a dozen countries in Africa, Asia and Latin America on tax policy and project evaluation. Shukla is joined by other senior Duke faculty members representing various disciplines and perspectives. Senior practitioners dealing with issues of tax analysis and revenue forecasting in governments, international agencies and other prominent universities in the United States are also involved in the workshop.


This training program is open to individuals working professionally in tax policy, tax administration, economics, finance, accounting, management or other related fields. These include:

  • Public and private sector executives
  • Officials of revenue authorities and ministries of finance
  • Professionals in multilateral and regional banks
  • Consultants providing assistance to decision makers in public and private sectors


Duke University Executive Education Programs is registered with the National Association of State Boards of Accountancy (NASBA) as a sponsor of continuing professional education on the National Registry of CPE Sponsors. State boards of accountancy have final authority on the acceptance of individual courses for CPE credit. Complaints regarding registered sponsors may be submitted to the National Registry of CPE Sponsors through its website: